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I want to first
thank you for this invitation all the more so because the subject of today's
meeting is so important and so timely. The third Ministerial Meeting later this year will
have to take important decisions about a major new round of multilateral trade
negotiations many of the key subjects of which were already agreed to at the end of
the Uruguay Round.It could not come at a
more critical time. The past year has been dominated by the financial crisis a
crisis whose damaging effects have been felt most severely in the developing world. This
past year has also seen a dangerous widening of the gap between the transatlantic
economies, which have so far been less affected by the crisis, and the rest of the world
economy, which has seen its progress towards economic development dramatically set back by
financial instability, retreating investment, and falling commodity and industrial prices.
Our
increasingly interdependent global economy cannot maintain for long these imbalances. In a
world made ever smaller by television, telephones, and the Internet, the idea that
billions can sink deeper into poverty, while millions more grow richer, is simply
unsustainable - and unconscionable.
What does the
developing world want and need - from the multilateral trading system? First, the
full implementation of existing liberalization commitments. This is of course a concern
for all WTO Members, but for a number of developing countries in particular it is an issue
which influences their attitude to further trade negotiations. These countries have stated
that they have encountered unexpected problems with implementing existing Uruguay Round
commitments, and furthermore that some of those agreements have deficiencies that have
only become apparent during the implementation process. On the other hand, they claim that
anticipated benefits have failed to materialize because, for example, industrialized
countries have not lived up to the spirit of liberalizing agreements (such as textiles),
made excessive use of anti-dumping measures, or failed to respect the principle of special
and differential treatment. In short, these countries see an imbalance in the way existing
agreements affect them, and they see this as a problem which needs a political solution,
not just more technical assistance. They also argue that since this is a question of
righting an existing imbalance, it should not become something they are expected to
"pay" for in a new Round.
I want to
underline the importance of approaching this complex issue with all the necessary
attention and good will in our preparations for the next Ministerial Conference. As recent
meetings of developing-country leaders, most notably the G-15, have shown, their support
for a new Round cannot be assumed as long as they feel that their legitimate concerns are
not being adequately addressed. I hope and I am sure, the European Union will continue to
take a lead in doing so, as you are helping to do through this meeting.
Second,
developing countries need improved market access for their exports. A 1998 joint study by
WTO and UNCTAD shows that, even after the successful implementation of the Uruguay Round,
a substantial number of high tariffs will remain both for developed and developing
countries. About 10 per cent of all Quad country tariffs are still above 12 per cent ad
valorem. Moreover, there is a very high variation in these rates, with some tariff
peaks reaching 350 per cent or more, and the majority of peaks being somewhere between 12
and 30 per cent. These sectors include textiles and clothing, footwear, leather and travel
goods, fish, processed food stuffs, agricultural products many of which are of
primary interest to developing countries. The point is that it would be misleading to
assume that tariffs are no longer an issue in trade policy today. And these areas must
receive due attention in future negotiations.
Improved
market access is an especially important objective for the least developed and the less
dynamic developing countries. I have urged WTO members to provide bound duty free access
for the export products of least-developed countries since the Lyon summit of 1996. A
number of WTO Members have taken steps in this direction; I know the European Union is one
of them, and I congratulate you. However, I also want to emphasize that more can
and must be done. The elimination of all obstacles to trade with least-developed
countries by all industrial countries and with a different timetable by the
most dynamic developing countries, must be a key objective of the next Round.
Third, the
importance of new technologies to development. Many of the issues we will face in future
negotiations will involve new, technology-based issues like telecommunications, financial
services, information technologies, and electronic commerce. Again some have portrayed
these as developed country issues. Nothing could be further from the truth. New
technologies like computers, cell phones, or the internet help to shrink distances and
time, providing an escape route from physical marginalization. They equalize access to the
most important resource of the 21st century knowledge and ideas. They
determine whether a country is equipped to participate in the new global economy, or is
left behind. Far from seeing technology as a barrier between North and South, we should
see it as a bridge and work to make this bridge a reality.
Fourth, we
need to underline the importance of investment and competition policy to development
and the need for flexibility and creativity in considering these issues in order to
take full account of developing country needs. On one side there is no doubt that a more
level investment playing field is essential for the great majority of developing countries
and for practically all least-developed countries. Today the threat to developing
countries is not from a flood of foreign investment, but from the lack of it. Net private
capital flows to emerging markets plunged in 1998 to $152 billion, down from $260 billion
in 1997 and $327 billion in 1996 although it should be said the most of the decline
has been in the flow of short term capital, not long term investment.
We are not
just talking about access to productive capital. We are talking about access to developed
country markets, access to managerial and marketing techniques, access above all to
technology and advanced processes all of which now flow through cross-border
investments and business alliances. The case for considering investment rules in the WTO
is a simple and compelling one: The need to create a level global playing field for
developing and developed economies alike by building a framework of secure,
predictable and non-discriminatory rules. Of course, there are sensitive issues as is the
case with every key issue. But the role of negotiators is to take account of these
sensitivities and to find the appropriate answer.
The case for
considering competition rules in the trading system is equally compelling. The idea that
developing and least-developed countries have no interest in this subject must be
dispelled. In reality, if we want to encourage the development of the private sector in
these countries we have to help them to create the regulatory environment that will allow
markets to operate the commercial, competition, and financial laws that must
underpin business confidence and investor security. Competition rules have a great role to
play in this context for developing and developed countries alike.
Fifth, we
need a coherent and integrated strategy for development particularly for the least
developed and the less dynamic developing countries. Trade alone cannot solve all their
problems. Very little can be done without an integrated strategy which takes into account
the great number of issues these countries face from health and education, to
technical assistance, capacity building and - very importantly - debt relief. This is the
area where we are beginning to move - in collaboration with the ITC, the IMF, the World
Bank, UNDP, UNCTAD - in the framework of integrated programmes of technical assistance. An
ambitious integrated approach to technical assistance and debt relief together with
full market access in the advanced economies - should be a third pillar of a new effort in
favour of least-developed countries in the trade field.
But we need
much more political will where your support is critical and more resources.
The budgetary needs for technical cooperation are already of a large magnitude - and will
only grow in the future as more least-developed countries join the system, and as the
system itself becomes more and more complex. At present, 80 per cent of technical
assistance is paid by voluntary contributions of a very small number of very generous
countries who are not themselves among the biggest trading partners. This
dependence on ad hoc grants makes it extremely difficult to effectively plan for
technical cooperation activities. It is also basically unfair. How can we be credible in
our commitment to the least-developed countries if we can't find even a minimum of
resources in the budget of the organization?
This is the
case with two very important initiatives which have been made possible because of the
generous contribution of the Commission. As a follow up to a proposal made by Sir Leon and
by President Clinton earlier this year, the WTO is now hosting a High Level Symposium on
Trade and the Environment on 15-16 March, followed by a High Level Symposium on Trade and
Development on 17-18 March. These two meetings, which will take place at the WTO's
headquarters in Geneva, represent a very important initiative for the multilateral trading
system because they bring together - for the first time capital-based senior
officials, intergovernmental organizations, NGOs, the business community, trade unions,
consumer, development, and agricultural representatives, and members of the academic
world.
It is a
unique opportunity to encourage a high-level dialogue and an open exchange of ideas about
the complex issues involved, and about the responsibilities of the trading system. It also
provides an important stepping stone to the WTO's third Ministerial Conference in November
this year. And these two initiatives are further evidence of the high degree of
transparency and democracy in our system one which is rules-based, and whose
decisions are taken by consensus and ratified by every national government.
Last but not
least we need to strengthen the multilateral trading system by ensuring that developing
countries have an equal responsibility for the system. Trade is now even more critical to
the economic future of the developing countries than the industrialized countries. In
1970, trade as expressed as a share of developing-country GDP was slightly less that 20
per cent. Today it is 38 per cent compared to less than 15 per cent for the EU, and
11 per cent for the United States. Between 1973 and 1997 the developing countries' share
of manufactured imports in developed markets tripled from 7.5 per cent to 23 per
cent. What these figures reflect is the developing world's truly remarkable integration
into the global economy over the past three decades. But what they also underline is the
fact that there will be no sustained economic recovery in the developing world, without a
sustained recovery of their global trade.
It is in this
context of uncertainties and increasing imbalances - together with the certainty of
interdependence and of unprecedented opportunities - that we are facing the challenge of a
new Round. We are now at the end of the first phase of the preparations for the
Ministerial Meeting which has essentially been one of issue clarification. The second
phase, from February to July, will centre on specific proposals from WTO Members. This
process has the challenging task of preparing recommendations to Ministers about the work
programme that will take the WTO into the new millennium. We are already committed to
negotiations in important areas such as services, agriculture, and aspects of intellectual
property. And there is now a growing consensus in favour of a substantial and ambitious
multilateral Round, though it should be said that not all countries especially not
all developing countries - are guided by the same vision.
Against this
background, I want to make first a general but very important observation. If we want
as we do want the new multilateral negotiations to be really multilateral,
really global, and very much centred on bringing the developing and the least-developed
countries more and more into the mainstream of the multilateral trading system, then the
world's main trading powers have some very clear responsibilities. The first is to
decrease tensions among themselves. These tensions can paralyse the normal work of the
WTO, and they must be avoided.
Second,
agriculture cannot again be allowed to become the predominant issue of the new Round. And
we cannot give the impression that success or failure depends only on the possibility of
agreement among the major trading partners on agricultural issues. By focussing too much
on traditional issues, we risk overlooking how much the world economy has changed since
the Uruguay Round and how important the new issues have become to developing and developed
countries alike. I would like to point out that in a new Round we will have to put more
emphasis on the factors that will dominate economic development and the global economy in
the twenty-first century - especially new technologies and services.
Third, it is
absolutely vital that the WTO's negotiating agenda should be a balanced one, and should be
seen to be so from a developing country perspective. Clearly the active participation of
developing countries will be essential to the launching and success of such a Round.
Developing and least developed countries now make up almost four fifths of the WTO's
membership. Politically this system will not be able to move ahead confidently through its
next Ministerial Conference and into the next century without these countries sharing in
the belief that new negotiations are warranted and in their economic interests. Though
their trade interests are not homogenous, I hope that everything I have said today shows
how important they all are in terms of development and the process of our interdependent
world.
When we look
at the figures showing how much the developing world's output is now tied to trade, it is
very difficult to ignore the degree of our integration and our interdependence. With so
much of our economies dependent on one another, no country has an interest in closing off
markets or weakening its ties with the rest of the world. For the advanced economies, like
the EU, resisting protectionism should remain an uncompromising objective. The challenge
today is to improve the governance of interdependence. And to increase its human and
development dimension, not to refuse it.
Let me
conclude with this observation. At the present moment we face an upsurge of criticism of
globalization. More and more the call for a "human face" in this process is
widening. More and more, public opinion would like to include in the management of the
global economy subjects which go beyond the traditional parameters of finance and trade. I
believe that the high degree of interdependence we have reached, which will increase in
the next few years, lends a powerful weight to this view a new vision which
embraces not only capital movements and trade liberalization, not jut labour standards,
but also social safety nets, environmental, health, education especially the role
of new technologies poverty elimination, cultural diversity, and the reduction of
inequalities as subjects which must be embraced in an improved concept of global economic
management.
The next
multilateral trade round has to reflect a growing awareness of the inter-linkages among
all these issues; not to pretend that the trading system has to find an answer to each and
every one of them, but to ensure that at the highest level they will be brought within an
inclusive global architecture. |
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