|

I. The problem in context back to top
The background to accession
Vanuatu began its WTO accession process in
July 1995, and the main momentum towards membership came in 1997 with
the advent of a structural adjustment package known as the Comprehensive
Reform Programme (CRP).(1) This set of reforms aimed to improve governance,
enhance the role of the private sector, increase economic growth and
further liberalize the economy. As part of this last process the
programme was directed at reducing trade barriers within the context of
WTO membership.(2) The import-substitution policy, followed since
independence in 1980, was failing. The economy was generally closed,
while Vanuatu had always run a visible trade deficit; some policy-makers
and politicians felt that the economy should integrate more into the
global economy.
A further impetus towards accession was that
all Vanuatu’s neighbours and principal trading partners were WTO
members — Fiji, the Solomon islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia and New
Zealand. There was a feeling that trade relations would be enhanced
under the WTO framework.
Economic conditions back to top
The CRP did not meet many of its objectives.
Growth in gross domestic product (GDP) declined in the following five
years:(3) per capita GDP was no higher in absolute terms in 2003 than in
1998, and is now about US$1, 150.(4) Exports fell 40% during the same
period,(5) incoming investment fell faster than world-wide foreign direct
investment trends(6) and government expenditure increased as a proportion
of GDP.(7) This failure of economic performance provoked strong opinions
from some government officials: ‘The CRP was a complete waste of time.
It paid for the salaries of a few consultants and did nothing for the
country.’(8)
As Table 1 shows, Vanuatu had consistently run
a visible trade deficit since independence in 1980. Whilst cutting the
deficit was a motivation for WTO membership, the failure of the CRP to
deal with this problem or to improve the economy helped undermine public
support for WTO accession.
Table 1 :Vanuatu trade trends, 1983-2002
| |
Exports*
|
Imports**
|
|
|
Year
|
million vatu
|
Trade deficit as % of GDP
|
|
1983 |
2,583 |
4,338 |
16 |
|
1984 |
3,939 |
4,826 |
7 |
|
1985 |
2,753 |
5,257 |
19 |
|
1986 |
1,806 |
4,849 |
24 |
|
1987 |
1,937 |
6,157 |
29 |
|
1988 |
1,559 |
5,883 |
28 |
|
1989 |
1,609 |
6,727 |
31 |
|
1990 |
1,783 |
8,854 |
38 |
|
1991 |
1,600 |
7,128 |
26 |
|
1992 |
2,027 |
7,131 |
23 |
|
1993 |
2,140 |
7,406 |
23 |
|
1994 |
2,402 |
8,203 |
23 |
|
1995 |
2,552 |
8,507 |
23 |
|
1996 |
2,708 |
8,647 |
22 |
|
1997 |
3,565 |
8,613 |
17 |
|
1998 |
3,907 |
8,931 |
15 |
|
1999 |
2,907 |
9,989 |
22 |
|
2000 |
3,214 |
9,821 |
20 |
|
2001 |
2,302 |
10,357 |
24 |
* Merchandise.
** Cleared for home consumption.
Source: Department of Statistics; author’s
calculations.
In the eyes of local business people, many
civil servants and some of the public, the WTO was tarred with the same
brush as the CRP, and the decline in economic performance reinforced
protectionist attitudes.
Reasons for the suspension of the accession
back to top
In 2001, just before the Doha Ministerial
Conference, when Vanuatu was due to accede, the Minister of Trade
withdrew a finalized working party report, citing ‘technical reasons’.(9)
During the subsequent two years little progress was made towards
accession, although in 2004 Vanuatu began another attempt.
Local players cite several reasons for the
suspension of accession apart from the general economic downturn and the
failure of the CRP. The most immediate reason was that a general
election was due in May the following year, and the Minister of Trade
was concerned about protectionist pressures from a small number of
business interests, particularly in the area of wholesale and retail
trade.(10)
The leader of the negotiating team, Roy Mickey
Joy, admits that negotiators did not communicate enough with ministers,
partly as a result of frequent political change. Others confirm this
view: ‘Political instability was … a problem. Different ministers
also had different views on the WTO. There were insufficient
consultations between the political level and the civil servants … We were going into negotiations without consulting other line
departments. There were insufficient consultations between the Ministry
and the Department.’(11)
The political system is unstable, with
constantly shifting coalitions in office for a few months at a time.
Institutional memory is short, which made it difficult for negotiators
to keep ministers informed. In Vanuatu ministries are separate from
departments, which meant that the Department of Trade, which deals with
technical matters and line duties, had minimal contact with the
ministry. It has been suggested that when the Minister of Trade
suspended the accession process in 2001 it was the first time that he
was fully aware of the contents of the accession package.
A number of players believe that the accession
process was too burdensome for a small, least-developed country (LDC).
Only around five members of staff, based in the departments of Trade and
Customs, were available to deal with accession. They had no prior
experience of General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) or the WTO.
Funding was scarce, particularly at a time of
economic downturn and fiscal austerity. No resources were available for
a social or economic impact study. Vanuatu had no mission in Geneva. The
numerous trips to Geneva necessary for membership were difficult to
fund, and cost an estimated total of VT 20 million (US$150,000).
Vanuatu has never paid its annual fees as a WTO observer, which in 2003
were 23,070 Swiss francs,(12) representing around 14% of the total annual
Department of Trade budget.(13)
There was particular pressure on Vanuatu
because it would have been the first LDC to join the WTO. Members of the
working party, in particular the United States, extracted the maximum
concessions possible — what some have termed ‘WTO-plus’.(14) Those
involved with accession believe that the negotiation process was stacked
in favour of incumbents, a particular problem for small,
capacity-constrained Vanuatu: ‘At present, accession is a power-based
process within which the applicant — even the largest and seemingly most
powerful, such as China — has no real power to inflict any marginal cost
on a demandeur.’(15) There was also a fear among local people that,
following independence in 1980, Vanuatu was re-selling its country to
foreign interests. At least two prominent civil society and NGO members
have expressed fears of ‘re-colonization’.(16)
In sum, Vanuatu did not have sufficient
ownership over the outcome of negotiations. In the absence of
consultation and information, the logical option for doubters was to
oppose the entire WTO process.
This lack of ownership was due to the
asymmetry between members and acceding countries. Also to blame were the
problems typical of small, developing countries — a lack of experience,
insufficient communication between negotiators and politicians, and
limited resources. The ability of politicians to distance themselves
from the final result meant that accession was always vulnerable to
protectionist pressures from prominent business and civil society
interests.
It might be asked why Vanuatu wanted to join
the WTO if the costs were so high. However, it is only through the
protection of a rules-based system and access to the dispute-settlement
mechanism that many Vanuatu officials felt the country could function
successfully in the world economy. As globalization proceeded — meaning,
for example, the erosion of Vanuatu’s trade preferences as an LDC — many believed that it was important to be a part of the multilateral
trading regime.
II. Some local and external players and their roles back to top
Government and public sector
The Council of Ministers
Vanuatu had nine different governments between
1995 and 2004;(17) political instability made it very difficult for the
negotiating team to keep the Council of Ministers informed of
developments. Although its members knew that Vanuatu was joining the WTO,
most were unaware of any details of the accession package and did not
understand the role of the WTO. A lack of confidence in representatives
has made many civil society actors cautious about WTO participation: ‘One
of my concerns is our ability to participate effectively in WTO
meetings. For instance our parliament has fifty-two members, but you
only ever hear three talking throughout the year. How confidently can we
participate? If we can’t participate effectively we might as well not
be included.’(18) Some members of the Council of Ministers acted on behalf
of a handful of outspoken business people. Non-governmental
organizations (NGOs) had little impact on the Council of Ministers.
Ministers of Trade
Six different Ministers of Trade took office
between 1995 and 2001. Two of the most pro-active were Willy Jimmy
Tapanga Rarua, then a member of the francophone Union of Moderate
Parties (UMP) but now deputy leader of the centrist National United
Party, and Rialuth Serge Vohor, former UMP Prime Minister and Trade
Minister in 2001.
Vohor can be said to be neither particularly
pro- nor anti-WTO. His concern in 2001 was primarily re-election the
following year. It is also alleged — although difficult to prove — that
he was influenced by the powerful Dinh business family.
Tapanga Rarua, again the Minister of Trade for
the first half of 2003, is more well-disposed towards WTO membership. He
was also from the same Wantok (extended family) as many in the
negotiating team, a relationship which improved communications between
the team and the ministry. The greatest progress towards membership was
made during his time in office.
The Director General and political advisors
The Director General of Trade and Foreign
Affairs, in office since 1997, provided important stability. This
position was created with the aim of mediating between the department
and ministry and providing guidance alongside advisors appointed by the
minister.
Political advisors were motivated primarily by
a concern to remain in employment, as their jobs finished when the
minister left office. They were therefore conservative and did not push
for WTO membership.
The Director General of Trade was answerable
to three ministers — for Industry as well as Foreign Affairs, and Trade
and Commerce — who were often from different political parties. He had
wide-ranging responsibilities and attempted to achieve a compromise
between the differing policy stances.
Director of Trade
Roy Mickey Joy, Director of Trade, Industry
and Investment since 1998, has provided the strongest impetus towards
accession of any official or politician. He led the negotiating team,
alongside the Director of Customs, and communicated with foreign
capitals during bilateral discussions. The Department of Trade is the
WTO focal point.
Joy is one of only a handful of civil servants
or politicians who are trained and experienced in WTO matters and can
operate successfully on the international stage. With a team of only
five officials, however, split between two departments, he was
over-stretched during accession: ‘We were basically dealing with
goods, without realizing that other important aspects were not
addressed, such as agriculture or services. The suspension of accession
was timely. It gave us an opportunity to do more work, and to realize
the costs and benefits.’
As for any acceding country, terms of
membership were decided during accession. The rules were particularly
unclear for Vanuatu as potentially the first LDC to accede. This absence
of clear guidelines or rules meant that despite his best efforts the
Director of Trade found it difficult to comprehend the implications of
many points of negotiation.
Technical advisors back to top
Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat
representative at the WTO
The part-time Forum Secretariat representative
helped to formulate the negotiating position and was involved with some
bilateral discussions. His prior WTO knowledge made up for the lack in
domestic experience. Correspondence makes it clear that this source of
technical help was important,(19) and shows the benefits of pooling
resources within the Pacific region. The consultant, who understood
Melanesian cultural and economic priorities, was able to prioritize
local demands.
WTO Secretariat, Accessions Division
The accessions office provided technical input
during accession. A major motivation was to bring the negotiations to a
swift conclusion. Some commentators have called into question the
independence of the secretariat, suggesting that in order to enhance the
development credentials of the WTO following Seattle, WTO officials as
well as prominent members wanted countries from the three official
levels of development to join at Doha: Taiwan, a newly industrialized
country, China, a developing country, and least-developed Vanuatu.
The WTO official was, in my view, representing
one big player when he came here. There was no face-to-face bilateral;
we were only exchanging correspondence … The WTO Secretariat
appeared not to be acting independently — it was pushing on behalf of a
particular country.(20)
While these are serious allegations, it seems
particularly important for national officials to see the WTO Secretariat
as strictly impartial. Face-to-face negotiations, rather than the
secretariat only delivering responses, may help. Rushing responses
forced Vanuatu into making ill-considered decisions.
The private sector back to top
Chamber of Commerce
The Vanuatu Chamber of Commerce is unusual in
that it is funded by government. Because they pay no fee, corporate
members take a varying interest in its operations. Although in favour of
WTO entry, the Chamber was relatively uninvolved in the accession
process. Officials believe that they should have been consulted more
closely: ‘People weren’t sure what the WTO was. They didn’t know
what the benefits were for Vanuatu … The private sector and NGOs
were not consulted on the process. That’s why there wasn’t any
support from the stakeholders.’(21)
The Chamber of Commerce argues that Vanuatu
has insufficient domestic production to be able to take advantage of
increased market access. The argument is not that WTO entry would be
damaging, but that it is not currently relevant.
Companies
Around six vocal manufacturing companies form
a powerful lobbying interest. Most of these firms have sheltered behind
high trade barriers since independence, despite manufacturing comprising
only 3% of GDP.(22) Under the Melanesian Spearhead Group Free Trade Area, a
regional trade agreement, each company has managed to negotiate
protective import tariff rates of 35% for their main product, including
ice-cream, wooden furniture, toilet paper, fruit juice, corned beef and
sawn timber.(23)
Manufacturing companies were broadly hostile
to WTO membership. However, most did not grasp that the average
negotiated bound tariff rate was 40%, with applied rates for their
products below bound rates.(24) This lack of awareness was partly due to the
dearth of information provided by government, but the facts were never
denied to companies had they wished to find out.
NGOs
Initially NGOs groups were uninformed about
the implications of WTO membership for Vanuatu. Aspects of their
analysis, based on information from European NGOs, were opposed to the
interests of Vanuatu. For instance, some European NGOs were lobbying
against a reduction in domestic agricultural support because it would
increase unemployment. This is true for Europe, but local NGOs failed to
realize that it would make Vanuatu farm products more competitive in the
European market. One local NGO published an inflammatory article in the
newspaper, taken from a European anti-WTO website, just before Vanuatu
was due to sign the working party report.(25)
Prior to recent awareness sessions I didn’t
read much about WTO matters. Before I had an opinion without reasoning.
I heard everyone else talking about the WTO … But now I also have
other views about the WTO. I know that a country like Vanuatu can have a
say on any issue.(26)
With an increase in awareness about the WTO
after 2001, NGOs have been able to tailor their analysis to the domestic
context. A VANGO representative has attended several domestic and
overseas WTO workshops and distributed local literature on the WTO to
members. Most NGOs, however, remain sceptical about WTO entry.
The media
At the time two newspapers, the Trading
Post and the Port Vila Presse, were published three times a
week. Both played a key role in forming attitudes towards the WTO. The
expatriate editor of the Trading Post (now the Daily Post)
has opposed WTO membership in the belief that it would increase
unemployment. The newspapers were purportedly motivated by sales and had
a minimal political agenda — both were owned by foreign investors.
A number of articles reprinted from foreign
publications served to spread misperceptions about the WTO, although a
publicity campaign by the Department of Trade is now increasing
awareness.(27)
The New Zealand and Australian High
Commissions
Australian and New Zealand diplomats based in
Port Vila intervened during accession as part of their close donor
relationship. Both countries, however, have major economic and political
interests in the Pacific. Vanuatu officials found it difficult to
separate technical assistance from self-interest. This was reflected in
the marked difference between the roles of the respective development
agencies — AusAID and the then New Zealand Overseas Development Agency
— and their departments of trade.
I remember walking into negotiations in
Canberra thinking we were talking to friends, when suddenly we were hit
by a barrage of aggressive negotiating demands. We had no negotiating
position worked out beforehand.(28)
Correspondence indicates that Australia and
New Zealand had specific demands during Vanuatu’s accession,
including, as expected from members of the Cairns group, opposition to
agricultural export subsidies.(29) The dual role of these countries as both
donors and demandeurs undermined the final outcome.
III. Challenges faced and the outcome
back to top
Vanuatu had to make major commitments on goods
and services in compensation for its inability fully to meet demands on
issues such as land ownership. Although no single concession alone was
responsible for the decision to suspend accession, services commitments,
and in particular the liberalization of wholesale and retail trade, were
among the most important.
Export subsidies back to top
Vanuatu periodically used aid payments to
subsidise copra exports when international prices were low. Farmers in
remote outer islands have no other source of income. Article 15 of the
Agreement on Agriculture excludes LDCs from reduction commitments under
the agreement, and yet some WTO members argued that they would not
permit new countries to join with export subsidies.(30) Vanuatu was forced
to agree to discontinue its periodic export subsidies if it wanted to
join the WTO. Although it never used domestic funds as subsidies, the
result was an unpopular restriction on policy.
Goods back to top
As a tax haven, Vanuatu derived the biggest
single share of government revenue from import duties, leaving a lot at
stake in goods negotiations. Again, the issue of preparedness arises. No
country can consider the accession process entirely holistically because
accession takes years, during which period the economic structure
evolves and administrations change. Yet Vanuatu did not take an overall
view, instead treating each element of negotiations discretely.
We were responding to requests and they were
responding with high demands. We could not defend our positions, so we
just had to give in. For example hydrocarbon oil duty rates, when
converted to ad valorem from specific rates, were about 200-300%.
At the moment they are well below, at 75%. We were pushed hard to
convert them from specific to ad valorem and they were too high.
Revenues on fuel are well below what we were collecting before.(31)
Although Vanuatu negotiated a higher average
bound rate than some other acceding LDCs, this absence of an overall
negotiating strategy meant that the outcome did not meet expectations.
Vanuatu eventually agreed to bind 100% of tariffs, more than many
developed and developing country members.(32) The agreed tariff peak of 75%
was also much lower than many WTO members, as was the average tariff
rate of 40%.(33)
Among other difficult areas in goods
negotiations were duty rates for alcohol and tobacco, both of which
generated significant revenue for the government. Owing to its small
size and lack of capacity the Department of Customs and Inland Revenue
has found it difficult to collect excise and value added tax.
Services back to top
The leader of the negotiating team, Roy Mickey
Joy, now admits that services received insufficient attention. This was
for the simple reason that local officials were unfamiliar with the GATS
system; it was left mostly to the temporary outside consultants.(34)
In the final schedule of commitments on
services, Vanuatu agreed to include ten general areas out of a possible
eleven, with fifty specific commitments.(35) These commitments are higher
than those of most neighbouring economies and above the average for WTO
members. The Solomon Islands included nine general areas and Fiji only
two.(36)
One of the most controversial areas was
wholesale and retail trade. Tonga, which was in the early stages of
acceding, requested that Vanuatu make minimal commitments in these areas
for fear of setting a precedent for its own accession.(37) Vanuatu officials
also wanted to promote local ownership of the numerous small shops
operating in the remote outer islands. In the end, however, distribution
services were largely opened up.(38)
Land ownership back to top
For customary and traditional reasons the
Vanuatu constitution prohibits the freehold ownership of land. Leasehold
lasting seventy-five years is allowed in some, mostly urban, areas. Yet
the United States requested the revision of land laws. To allow freehold
would have been politically suicidal and culturally unacceptable, so
negotiators could not compromise on this issue. Provisions prohibiting
foreign freehold ownership of land were made under the horizontal
section of the services schedule of the final report.(39) As a result,
significant concessions had to be made in other areas.
Special and differential treatment
back to top
WTO members argued that since Vanuatu was not
yet a member of the WTO it could not use special and differential
treatment (S&D) provisions. This has already been seen in the case
of export subsidies, yet it also meant that Vanuatu could not take full
advantage of transition periods for Trade-related Aspects of
Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) or customs valuation.(40) Negotiators
found it difficult to understand why they could not make full use of
these sources of flexibility.
The decision on the accession of LDCs adopted
by the WTO General Council on 10 December 2002 was partly a response to
Vanuatu’s predicament, both as a capacity-constrained country
experiencing difficulties in negotiations and in its inability to take
advantage of S&D.(41)
Document WT/L/508 recommends that ‘WTO
members shall exercise restraint in seeking concessions and commitments
on trade in goods and services from acceding LDCs, taking into account
the levels of concessions and commitments undertaken by existing WTO
LDCs’ members.’ It allows acceding LDCs to take advantage of special
and differential treatment, streamlines the accession process and
improves access to technical assistance and capacity-building.
IV. Lessons for others back to top
Coping with limited capacity
The WTO accession process was too onerous and
power-based for a small, capacity-constrained country. Vanuatu officials
were forced to make concessions that politicians were not prepared to
sustain in the long run and which were greater than many developed and
developing WTO members. This is in the interests neither of WTO members
in general nor of Vanuatu.
Whatever degree of training and
capacity-building assistance is provided, and however high the quality,
small countries and many LDCs will always struggle to negotiate
effectively with big players. Not only do small countries and some LDCs
simply lack manpower, but even when fully trained officials often move
jobs. Out of Vanuatu’s original five-member WTO team, three have now
taken up new positions. This means that negotiating capacity is little
better than at the start of accession in 1995.
The accession of Nepal and the finalization of
Cambodia’s working party report in 2003 show that LDCs have negotiated
with varying degrees of success, and yet the outcomes showed limited
true flexibility, for example on telecommunications, audiovisual and
wholesale and retail.(42)
Despite the 2002 General Council decision on
LDCs, ‘There is a continued need for clear, objective rules and
disciplines for accession negotiations.’(43)
A set of basic rules and disciplines would
help overcome capacity limitations. These rules could — at least — lay
down fixed transition periods for adoption of the TRIPS, Customs
Valuation and sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS) agreements;
suggest guidelines on import tariff reduction commitments; and put in
place maximum required service-sector commitments.
Of course some room for manoeuvre is required,
and there can be no blueprint for accession. However, in reality the
existing procedure allows limited flexibility because of the standard
demands of big players. Most local players involved with Vanuatu’s
accession believe that excluding certain issues from negotiations would
improve the overall outcome.
Using international resources
back to top
Most local players agree that technical
assistance was vital. The Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat consultants
had both prior experience of the WTO and local knowledge, a combination
which was particularly important in the case of land laws. A key lesson
here is that technical assistants are more help if they have country or
regional experience.
Since 2001 Vanuatu has been able to take
better advantage of technical assistance. The increase in awareness has
allowed key officials to take a step back from the nitty-gritty, looking
instead at the overall costs and benefits.
Government officers have attended many
overseas training courses organised by the WTO, UN agencies and others.
However, it is important to ensure that training is targeted at the
appropriate personnel. In a low-wage country, per diems comprise
a significant incentive, even if the training is not directly relevant.(44)
Overseas trips are often distributed as bonuses to favoured staff.
The only obvious way around this problem is
for international agencies to establish contact with ministries other
than the WTO contact point and to target training at officials with
relevant responsibilities. This may cost more, but it would be better to
conduct a handful fewer training sessions and spend the resources on
targeting the sessions than to train the wrong people. ‘We need to
send key stakeholders on WTO workshops so that they can help the
Department of Trade.’(45)
The Chamber of Commerce has suggested that
members of the private sector and NGOs should have attended awareness
seminars at an early stage. This would have prevented misunderstandings
about the WTO and enabled tailoring of analysis and strategy to the
local context.
A lack of understanding among politicians also
hindered Vanuatu’s accession. A suggestion is that parliamentarians
involved with the productive sectors — trade, finance, industry and
tourism — should attend more training seminars on the WTO.
Training sessions must also be customized to
local circumstances. General awareness of WTO rules is only half of the
story; it is also crucial for people to understand the implications for
their own country. It would make sense for any training seminar to
involve in-depth prior country research, good-quality regional
consultants and knowledgeable country officials.
Often Vanuatu trainees did not find it
relevant to analyze in detail the legal meaning of individual WTO
agreements or articles — the sort of scrutiny that happens in Geneva;
more important was a basic understanding of how the WTO agreements would
affect the country and region.
Consultation and transparency
back to top
A problem mentioned by almost every player
involved in Vanuatu’s accession was the lack of consultation: ‘there
was minimal consultation with or information provided to civil society,
government and NGOs’.(46) The reasons were twofold: first, officials were
simply stretched too thin. They did not have the time or resources for
adequate consultation. Second, there was simply not enough understanding
that accession must be based on the true interests of the country rather
than the desires of government officials.
Politicians must also be briefed regularly,
even if the news is bad. The Minister of Trade found it easy to withdraw
from accession because there was so little domestic ownership or
understanding of the issues.
Consultation must take two forms: first,
individual talks aimed at determining private views, and second,
frequent national seminars aimed at stimulating debate and arriving at
an overall viewpoint. The former type of consultation focuses more on
deciding the content of negotiating proposals; the latter aims mostly to
create a sense of public ownership. If local players feel that they have
been consulted, they are more likely to commit to any final outcome even
if they disagree with it.
Since 2001 Vanuatu has created an
inter-departmental WTO committee chaired by the Environment Unit. This
involves key government and NGO players and ensures that the process
does not revolve entirely around the Department of Trade.
Consultations, however, do not mean that all
views can be accommodated. It is likely, for example, that some NGOs
will disagree with companies. As seen in Vanuatu’s goods negotiations,
there was no aggregated strategy. This was the result partly of a lack
of strong leadership — someone needs to say ‘no’ to particular
demands, which is often culturally difficult in Pacific countries. There
must come a time when a small group of officials, or a politician,
finalizes strategy. A lack of domestic direction in Vanuatu’s
accession allowed other players to dictate proceedings.
Trade negotiations strategy back to top
Negotiations strategy is a large area with a
significant literature, and it is difficult to say much in a few words.
However it deserves mention because it is one of the areas in which
Vanuatu’s accession displayed the most weakness.
The main problem was that there was no overall
plan. Negotiators had not worked out a position in advance. For example,
there was no development of an ideal-case, expected and worst-case
scenario, either for the overall outcome of accession or for individual
discussions. Negotiators had not prioritized issues. There was little
attempt to quantify the impact of changes other than to recognize the
importance of tariff cuts for government revenue. ‘There was very,
very little preparation done. In terms of opening up the economy, which
affected revenue, we were under-prepared.’(47)
As has been discussed in section 3, an overall
strategy is difficult when policy is unstable, the economy is changing
and negotiations have few obvious parameters. However, even if strategy
alters with every new administration or change in economic structure, it
is better than no strategy at all.
Because most officials had only previously
negotiated with co-operative neighbouring Melanesian countries, they did
not appreciate the self-interested nature of international negotiations.
It is a very basic point, but working out the agenda of the other party
in advance is of paramount importance. Research on the local and foreign
economies is vital, including the development of accurate data. Training
on negotiations would be useful: ‘There are skills involved — the
theoretical aspects of negotiations can be studied in behavioural
sciences, or in negotiating skills training in management courses.’(48)
A particular lesson which Vanuatu learnt from
accession was that there is no rush. To this extent officials disagree
with the current proposal by the LDC group to put in place a three-year
timetable for accession. The only way in which this would work would be
if objective rules were put in place as suggested under ‘Coping with
limited capacity’ above, and the accession procedure was mostly formal
in nature rather than open to negotiation.
Acceding in three years under current
circumstances would force negotiators into making hasty decisions. The
range of issues that must currently be covered is too large to be
covered by a small administration. Three years is not enough time for a
small country to build ownership or to conduct sufficient research.
NOTES:
1.- See Comprehensive Reform Programme
(1997), Port Vila: Comprehensive Reform Programme Co-ordination Office. back to text
2.- Ibid. back to text
3.- Department of Finance and Economic
Management. back to text
4.- Department of Statistics; population is
around 200,000 and GDP approximately US$230 million. back to text
5.- Department of Trade, Industry and
Investment. back to text
6.- Vanuatu Investment Promotion Authority. back to text
7.- Department of Finance and Economic
Management. back to text
8.- Interview with Roy Mickey Joy, Director of
Trade, Industry and Investment. back to text
9.- WT/ACC/VUT/14. back to text
10.- Interview with unnamed senior government
official, 2004. back to text
11.- Interview with Timothy Sisi, former
Assistant Collector, Department of Customs and Inland Revenue, now
Principal Trade Officer, Department of Trade, Industry and Investment. back to text
12.- Source for all figures here: Department
of Trade, Industry and Investment. back to text
13.- Author’s calculations. back to text
14.- R. Grynberg and R. M. Joy (2000), ‘The
Accession of Vanuatu to the WTO’, Journal of World Trade 34
(6), pp. 159-73. back to text
15.- Ibid., p. 172. back to text
16.- See also J. D. Salong (1998), ‘Reform
or Recolonization: Vanuatu’s Comprehensive Reform Programme under the
Microscope’, Tok Blong Pasifik, March/June 1998. back to text
17.- Parliament library. back to text
18.- Interview with Dickinson Tevi, Vanuatu
Association of NGOs. back to text
19.- Department of Trade files. back to text
20.- Interview with Sisi. back to text
21.- Interview with Sowany Joseph, Principal
Trade and Investment officer, Port Vila Chamber of Commerce. back to text
22.- Department of Finance and Economic
Management. back to text
23.- ‘MSG Trade Negotiators Agree to
Re-impose Protective Customs Tariff’, Vanuatu Trading Post,
October 2002. back to text
24.- See
WT/ACC/VUT/13/Add.1. back to text
25.- Port Vila Presse, 2001. back to text
26.- Interview with Tevi. back to text
27.- See, e.g., ‘Speak Your Mind on the
World Trade Organization’, Daily Post, 24 Aug. 2003; ‘Vanuatu
Restarts WTO Negotiations’, Daily Post, 6 May 2004. back to text
28.- Interview with Joy. back to text
29.- Department of Trade files. back to text
30.- Grynberg and Joy (2000), pp. 166-7. back to text
31.- Interview with Sisi. back to text
32.- For instance Australia has bound only
95% of tariffs and Cameroon 13.3% of tariffs. back to text
33.- Egypt, e.g., has a peak tariff of 3,000% on agricultural goods and the United States 350%. The Maldives has
an average bound rate of 300%. back to text
34.- Confirmed in interviews with the
Director of Trade and Principal Trade Officer. back to text
35.-
WT/ACC/VUT/13/Add.2. back to text
36.- Grynberg and Joy (2000), p. 170. back to text
37.- Discussion with temporary consultant. back to text
38.-
WT/ACC/VUT/13/Add.2. back to text
39.- Ibid. back to text
40.- Vanuatu was allowed two years to adopt
these agreements, while Cambodia and Nepal were allowed three years or
more. back to text
41.-
WT/L/508; This has been confirmed in
informal conversations with officials from the WTO Secretariat. back to text
42.- See, e.g., the working party report of
Nepal,
WT/ACC/NPL/16. back to text
43.- UNCTAD (2004), The Least-Developed
Country Report 2004, Geneva and New York: United Nations, p. 63. back to text
44.- A middle-ranking Vanuatu government
officer earns VT 1.1 million a year, about US$10,000. An average WTO per
diem for a one-week course is therefore about 65% of the monthly
salary. back to text
45.- Interview with Joseph. back to text
46.- Interview with Roy. back to text
47.- Ibid. back to text
48.- Former Director of Customs. back to text
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