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Allocutions:
Mike Moore
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"At a conference in Washington, two weeks ago, I
heard some fascinating commentaries on how far the
trading system's horizons have expanded since the Tokyo
Round. Just twenty years ago the challenge was to bring
subsidies, antidumping, or technical standards fully into
the rules of the system. Today the trading system is
called on from one side or another to take account of
environmental policy, financial instability, labour
standards, ethical issues, development policy,
competition law, culture, technology, investment,
marginalization, security, health - an ever-lengthening
list of issues which can be associated in one way or
another with trade.This
underlines the degree of interdependence we have reached
in our world. Clearly, the implications of trade
liberalization go much beyond trade and economics. By
lowering barriers among nations, economies and people, it
helps create interdependence and solidarity. Trade
liberalization is not just a recipe for growth, but also
for security and peace, as history has shown us.
Likewise, globalization is about much more than trade or
capital flows. It is about a world linked together by
information, knowledge, and ideas as well. Economic and
technological integration is reinforcing the global web
of interdependence which gives us a shared interest in
our civilization and our planet, as well as our
prosperity. To talk only about managing a global economy
is to miss the point that we are really dealing with a
new kind of global system with an ever more important
human dimension.
I
want to make three basic points about how we approach and
manage this new system. Firstly, that we should be
careful that the concept of "policing" does not
lead us to think that solutions can be imposed, or just
transferred from one situation to another. Each global
issue has to find its own best path - environmental,
ethical, social, health, financial and all the other
aspects of an integrating world must be dealt with first
and foremost in their own terms and according to their
own specific needs. We cannot pretend that one policy
sector can provide all the answers in another, and
certainly not that the trading system can provide a sort
of universal response. Seeking a single answer to a
widely-varying set of problems would be as unrealistic in
international as it is in national politics.
The
need instead - and this second point flows naturally
from the first - is to work patiently and carefully
to build international consensus in each of these areas.
The history of the multilateral trading system
- which is fifty years old this year - shows us
that there are no short cuts. The exercise of power is
unlikely to produce equitable or durable solutions unless
it is tempered by the rule of law. Only by encouraging
the organic growth of consensus in all the areas that
concern us will we find genuine answers to these concerns
for the long term.
Thirdly,
the clear implication of the previous points is that we
need a global architecture which will provide a framework
for building and strengthening global consensus in an
integrating world which will fill the gap between
politics, still based on national constituencies and
needs, and economics and technologies more and more
borderless and based on global objectives.
II
With
these three points in mind, I would like to consider more
closely what globalization means and how the trading
system can help us to respond to its challenges and
opportunities.
Certainly
there are real and justified concerns about many aspects
of the world we live in. It is equally clear that people
are apprehensive about the speed of change, and that it
is sometimes easier to blame all the insecurities and
anxieties this can induce on globalization. Globalization
can then become shorthand for everything we might not
like about the world as it is. The risk attached to
demonizing globalization is not just that it obscures and
distorts the real, complex, issues - it can also
lead us down false and possibly dangerous political paths
and actually obstruct the search for durable answers. We
all hear many criticisms of globalization, but I have
never heard a rational alternative to the search for
peaceful global development.
Of
course the world we live in is still unacceptable in many
respects. Far too many people lack proper access to food,
water, health care, education or justice. The benefits of
development are not evenly shared, and marginalization
remains a real threat for too many. To deny these
realities is not an option. But it is equally not an
option to deny the reality of globalization, or the
reality of the great opportunities it opens up to find
answers to our shared global problems.
The
reality of globalization is the reality of
interdependence, an interdependence that, as I said at
the outset, extends far beyond trade or strictly economic
criteria. But trade remains a key element in sustaining
and spreading the benefits of interdependence.
By
way of example, let me first outline its contribution to
generating growth. Over the past 50 years, trade has been
a powerful engine for growth. In 1950 its ratio to global
GDP was 7 %. Now it represents 23 %, and a third of the
25 largest trading countries are now developing
countries. Between 1948 and 1997, merchandise trade
increased 14 times, while world production increased 5 ½
times. In the same period world GDP increased by 1.9 %
per year at constant prices and taking account of overall
population growth. Seen in an historical context, this
figure is extremely high.
In
particular, over the past 10 to 15 years, when developing
countries have more and more embraced trade liberalizing
policies, the benefits have been clear. The share of
developing countries in world trade overall has increased
from 20 to 25 %. For the manufactured sector it has
doubled from 10 to 20 %, and on current trends could
exceed 50 % by the year 2020. Furthermore, in this
same period of time, 10 developing countries with a
combined population of 1.5 billion people have doubled
their income per head.
And
while the gap between countries is in some cases
widening, it is also true that from 1990 to 1996,
developing countries recorded an average growth of
5.4 %, three times more than advanced economies. In
this same period of time, exports from the industrialized
countries to the developing countries grew each year by
an average of 10.1 %, while exports from developing
countries to the industrialized world grew an average of
7.3 %. This is the virtuous circle of globalization.
Secondly,
the trading system is helping to bring the world together
through its rôle in liberating the new borderless
technologies which are shrinking the constraints of time
and space. An intercontinental telephone call between
Europe and the United States now costs only 1.5 per cent
of what it cost 60 years ago. Forecasts indicate
that within the next few years the actual cost could
decrease by a further two thirds. The cost of computers
has also fallen by almost 100 per cent since 1960, and
every year the coverage of the Internet doubles so that
by the year 2000 10 per cent of the world's population
may be linked up. In 1997, trade transactions through the
Internet amounted to $8 billion and should rise to a
figure between $200 and $300 billion in the year
2002. Many experts believe that electronic trade will
become the principal catalyst for global economic growth
in the next century.
The
technological revolution will open up horizons that were
totally unthinkable until a few years ago. The
liberalization of telecommunications and information
technology products at the global level will make it
possible for people in all parts of the world to have
access to information and education. Together with the
World Bank, the Organization I represent is connecting
the poorest countries in the world through a computer
network for which we are providing the computers and
professional training. Through an Internet site we have
opened, we are now able to provide in real time all the
information and documents they could have in Geneva.
Within a few years, every village in the world could have
a mobile telephone. This can make the difference between
life and death, and it also implies the end of physical
marginalization.
Never
before has a generation had so many resources for human
development. Let us work together to open new horizons
for all nations and peoples to promote education, to
improve health care, to advance agricultural development
in the poorest regions of the world: in one word, to
enhance human development throughout the world. This is
an explicit aim of the World Trade Organization.
III
So,
as both the Brundtland Commission and the Rio Earth
Summit recognized, economic growth is one of the most
powerful allies of sustainable development. But this
positive impact of globalization in no way reduces the
need to find appropriate solutions to specific problems.
There is a rational and durable approach to the
lengthening list of environmental, social and ethical
challenges that now transcend borders, jurisdictions and
cultures. It lies in building a global consensus in these
areas, reaching enforceable global agreements, and
building the kind of global institutions needed to manage
them.
Let
me give one example of the kind of progress we need. The
Committee on Trade and Environment, in its report to the
WTO's 1996 Ministerial meeting in Singapore, encouraged
the international community to tackle shared
environmental problems through shared solutions. The
approximately 185 Multilateral Environmental Agreements,
20 of which include trade measures, represent the best
means of tackling global environmental problems. In
recent years, the ozone layer depletion has shown
encouraging signs of being repaired, thanks to the
remarkable achievements of the Montreal Protocol. CITES
has done much to help endangered species - though much
more remains to be done. The Basel Convention has limited
internal flows of toxic wastes. And, of course, the most
ambitious and far-reaching global environmental agreement
yet was reached in Kyoto last December, when some 150
governments from around the world set legally binding
targets and timetables for stabilizing and reducing
greenhouse gas emissions. The point is that each of these
agreements targets the environmental problem they aim to
solve with an environmental answer. And they exemplify
the scope for transgovernmental solutions to specific
transborder issues.
I
give this example to emphasize two points: first that
multilateral approaches in the environmental field are
working. And that nothing in the WTO stands in the way of
the international community pursuing shared goals in
other international agreements.
This
is not for a moment to underestimate the real and complex
challenge of ensuring that these global approaches are
harmonious and mutually supportive. Establishing a
framework to define the relationship between Multilateral
Environment Agreements and the WTO - all the time
ensuring that the trade and environmental agendas advance
in tandem - must be a priority. And clearly policy
coordination between national trade and environment
policies will play an important role in reducing
inconsistencies, and in ensuring that WTO members are
able to respect the commitments they have made in the WTO
and Multilateral Environment Agreements. The same applies
at the international level.
IV
The
trading system will continue to grow in global relevance
as trade policy continues to move beyond simple border
tariffs, to involve deeper issues inside national
boundaries like investment policy, competition policy,
and why not, electronic commerce. But this is not an
argument for turning the WTO into an environmental
watchdog, human rights body, or a development agency.
Such a policy would, firstly, harm the trading system
itself, with all the collateral effects this would have
for a sustainable global economy; and secondly, it would
fail to solve any of the other problems since an
environmental problem needs an environmental answer, not
a trade one.
I
do not claim that the multilateral trading system that we
have built in the last 50 years is a perfect one.
But it is a system based on some features unique in
international institutions. The first is its fundamental
principle of non-discrimination: this means that the
advantages that two or more trading partners negotiate
among themselves are extended automatically to all
others. If we are living a world in which there is not a
high level of reciprocal protection between advanced and
developing economies, it is because the trade
liberalization negotiated among industrial countries has
been extended automatically to developing countries over
many years.
We
have now 131 Members, 80 per cent of which are
developing countries or economies in transition from
centrally-planned to market economies. And 32 candidates,
including major trading partners like China and Russia,
all developing countries or economies in transition. And
yet we do not offer grants or loans, but just a framework
to negotiate the lowering of trade barriers inside
binding rules with the appropriate flexibilities for
developing countries. It is a sign that the system which
we manage is quite attractive in itself.
We
decide by consensus, and our decisions are approved by
each government and ratified by each national parliament.
Could you find a more transparent and democratic system
in the international community?
Last
but not least, our objective is a revolutionary one in
the present international society: the creation of a
universal trading system which is rule-based, not
power-based. The most unique feature of our Organization
is the dispute settlement procedure, an automatic and
binding system to help countries to solve their disputes
on the basis of the agreed rules. During the last three
years, since the creation of the WTO, the dispute
settlement procedure has worked remarkably well. It has
enabled small developing countries to bring cases against
major trading powers and win; and it has assisted
governments to resolve a great number of disputes
- about a quarter of the cases initiated -
before they get to a formal judgement.
The
WTO is not - and has no intention of becoming - a
supranational body with unilateral powers. It is not a
world policeman that can force compliance upon unwilling
governments. In fact, it would be a profound mistake to
assume that the challenges of our global age can be met
by imposing our policies or values on others. Whose
environmental standards, cultural traditions, political
systems represent a universal norm? When is it right to
impose our values and standards on other countries and
peoples? And do we really want to invest the WTO - or any
other international organization - with power to define
our environmental, social and ethical values?
I
don't pretend that reaching multilateral agreements on
many environmental, labour, or ethical issues will be
easy. But nor should we pretend that there is a short cut
through the WTO - or a magic bullet called trade
sanctions. Unilateralism or trade sanctions will not
convince any country of the validity of the values which
another asserts. This approach is a sign of weakness not
strength. It reflect a basic lack of confidence that
one's rights or values can be freely shared by others.
By
definition, the global challenges we all face call for
shared and cooperative solutions. They demand consensus.
And this means using multilateral negotiations to
construct multilateral agreements - which will require
determination, skill, and patience. What we need is
builders, not policemen.
This
is also the lesson of history. In the last 50 years, our
main challenge has been to manage a divided world; East
and West, North and South. Since then we have made
impressive progress. Now our biggest challenge is to
manage an ever more integrated world, a task at least as
difficult as the previous one. This is why, as I said a
few days ago to Prince Sadruddin, I believe that the real
issue of this exciting conference should be how to
improve global architecture for global needs.
The
WTO system forms an important part of this new
international system. But it is only a beginning. The
blurring of policies, as well as borders, clearly
underlines the need for progress on the broadest possible
front. It underlines, in other words, the need for a
global architecture to oversee a new kind of global
system. The WTO's experience over fifty years encourages
us that it is possible to build such a system on
consensus and mutual respect, on the rule of law rather
than the rule of power. Seizing this opportunity will not
only contribute to global prosperity and stability - it
will contribute towards building a sustainable global
community as well."
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